Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-11 0.001101 0.001247 0.001394 0.001554 0.001721 0.001891 0.002075
2025-05-18 0.000760 0.000975 0.001203 0.001460 0.001739 0.002030 0.002355
2025-05-25 0.000522 0.000782 0.001075 0.001419 0.001804 0.002218 0.002690
2025-06-01 0.000330 0.000612 0.000952 0.001370 0.001854 0.002386 0.003003
2025-06-08 0.000201 0.000490 0.000869 0.001356 0.001937 0.002588 0.003356
2025-06-15 0.000129 0.000425 0.000845 0.001407 0.002092 0.002871 0.003798
2025-06-22 0.000059 0.000336 0.000778 0.001396 0.002169 0.003062 0.004137
2025-06-29 0.000020 0.000271 0.000731 0.001403 0.002265 0.003271 0.004495
2025-07-06 0.000004 0.000237 0.000724 0.001461 0.002419 0.003549 0.004930
2025-07-13 NaN 0.000176 0.000664 0.001441 0.002473 0.003705 0.005222
2025-07-20 NaN 0.000120 0.000597 0.001403 0.002499 0.003825 0.005470
2025-07-27 NaN 0.000100 0.000591 0.001450 0.002633 0.004072 0.005866
2025-08-03 NaN 0.000061 0.000539 0.001437 0.002703 0.004260 0.006213
2025-08-10 NaN 0.000018 0.000444 0.001351 0.002676 0.004332 0.006429
2025-08-17 NaN 0.000002 0.000384 0.001315 0.002713 0.004484 0.006742
2025-08-24 NaN NaN 0.000325 0.001269 0.002736 0.004617 0.007035
2025-08-31 NaN NaN 0.000287 0.001258 0.002804 0.004807 0.007394
2025-09-07 NaN NaN 0.000283 0.001308 0.002959 0.005107 0.007888
2025-09-14 NaN NaN 0.000250 0.001298 0.003026 0.005295 0.008245
2025-09-21 NaN NaN 0.000228 0.001306 0.003118 0.005513 0.008639
2025-09-28 NaN NaN 0.000230 0.001363 0.003280 0.005821 0.009142
2025-10-05 NaN NaN 0.000198 0.001343 0.003329 0.005981 0.009463
2025-10-12 NaN NaN 0.000162 0.001306 0.003349 0.006103 0.009736